Recent Changes in the Conflict Between M23 and the Congolese Army Coalition

There have been notable developments in the ongoing conflict between M23 and the coalition of forces aligned with the Congolese government in Masisi Territory, North Kivu Province. A relative calm has returned to the region after days of intense fighting, but M23 appears to be gaining ground.

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Reports from Masisi on Friday, January 17, 2025, indicate a marked reduction in hostilities compared to previous days, during which heavy explosions were frequently heard across the area. This lull follows fierce battles on Thursday that involved M23, the Congolese army (FARDC), Burundian forces, Wazalendo militias, FDLR fighters, and Bacanshuro mercenaries, some reportedly from Europe and Asia.

Relative Calm Amid Tactical Maneuvering

While the current truce brings a temporary respite, the president of the Masisi Civil Society noted that both sides are likely regrouping and preparing for new offensives to expand their areas of control. He explained:
“This morning, there seems to be a relative calm in Masisi. However, M23 fighters continue advancing, reaching Kami-Lwanguba, Mashaki, Kironge, and Buserekere. They appear poised to capture a significant portion of Buabo as they move toward Kilambo.”

Territorial Positions of the Warring Factions

The civil society leader detailed the positions of the opposing forces:

  • M23 controls Masisi center and nearby areas, with their fighters advancing steadily.
  • Wazalendo militias are holding positions in Luashi and the areas surrounding Kohongole, heading toward Kahanga and Kasura. Some Wazalendo fighters are also present in Buabo but are reportedly retreating under pressure from M23.

Despite the relative calm, Masisi remains a contested zone, with M23 consolidating its hold on key areas and its rivals struggling to maintain a foothold. The situation remains fluid, and further clashes are anticipated as each side seeks to assert dominance in this strategic region.

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